There never was a “pause” in global warming.
"There was a natural slowdown in the rate of warming during roughly the decade of the 2000s due to a combination of volcanic influences and internal climate variability, but there was no actual 'hiatus' or 'pause' in warming," Michael Mann, director of the Earth System Science Center at Pennsylvania State University and an author of the climate modeling study, said.
The 1998 year was an super strong El Nino year and temperatures would always flat out a bit after that. A prolonged La Niña-like cooling of eastern Pacific surface waters has helped to offset the global rise in temperatures from greenhouse gases.
There is a clear cycle in solar activity [ https://www.carbonbrief.org/why-the-sun-is-not-responsible-for-recent-climate-change ] of around 11 years. This has some effect on short-term climate, though it tends to average out over longer time periods. For example, the unusually low solar output in after 2009 may have contributed [ https://www.nature.com/nature/journal/v545/n7652/full/nature22315.html ] to slower warming of the Earth’s surface between 1998 and 2013
Study suggests three periods of global warming slowdown since 1891 due to natural temporary causes
https://phys.org/news/2018-06-pe... [ https://phys.org/news/2018-06-periods-global-slowdown-due-natural.html ]
ALL AVAILABLE TEMPERATURE DATA, INCLUDING SATELLITES, WEATHER STATIONS AND OCEAN DATA, SHOWS THE SAME WARMING TREND of 1.1 C (2.0 F) since about 1880
GISS measures the change in global surface temperatures [ https://climate.nasa.gov/vital-signs/global-temperature/ ] relative to average temperatures from 1951 to 1980. GISS data show global average temperatures in 2017 rose 1.62 degrees Fahrenheit (0.9 degrees Celsius) above the 1951-1980 mean. According to GISS, the global mean surface air temperature for that period [ https://earthobservatory.nasa.gov/Features/WorldOfChange/decadaltemp.php ] was estimated to be 57 F (14 C). That would put the planet's average surface temperature in 2017 at 58.62 F (14.9 C).
What Is Earth's Average Temperature? [ https://www.space.com/17816-earth-temperature.html ]
From the Berkeley Earth pag [ http://berkeleyearth.org/global-temperatures-2017/ ]e:
Berkeley Earth has examined 16 million monthly average temperature observations from 43,000 weather stations...The weather station data is combined with sea surface temperature data from the UK Met Office’s Hadley Centre (HadSST). This ocean data is based on 355 million measurements collected by ships and buoys, including 12 million observations obtained in 2017.
Watch the history of Berkeley:
Here is the best known, the GISS data from NASA:
NASA GISS [ https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/ ] corrects for urban heat islands. This is the reason why they don't use raw data [ https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/stdata/ ]. The warming trend is the same in rural and urban areas [ https://www.skepticalscience.com/surface-temperature-measurements.htm ], measured by thermometers and satellites, and by natural thermometers.
Quantifying the effect of urbanization on U.S. Historical Climatology Network temperature records [ http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2012JD018509/full ]
HERE ARE DATA FOR EUROPE:
Global and European temperature [ https://www.eea.europa.eu/data-and-maps/indicators/global-and-european-temperature-4/assessment ]
Two long-term ocean-only temp series (with 95% conf. intervals) shows the same trend as weather stations and satellite data:
http://www.realclimate.org/index... [ http://www.realclimate.org/index.php/archives/2011/07/revisiting-historical-ocean-surface-temperatures/ ]
Isolated satellite data shows same trend as weather stations and ocean data:
RSS: This is from their home page:
http://images.remss.com/msu/msu_... [ http://images.remss.com/msu/msu_time_series.html ]
http://www.drroyspencer.com/late... [ http://www.drroyspencer.com/latest-global-temperatures/ ]
What trend do the UAH data show now? Lets go to the UAH home page:
The University of Alabama in Huntsville [ https://www.nsstc.uah.edu/climate/ ]
https://www.nsstc.uah.edu/climate/2019/April2019/GTR_201904Apr_1.pdf
Their trend is 0.13 C per decade. Very much in tune with all the other data.
RSS AND UAH SATELLITE DATA TOGETHER:
Interactive Graphs [ http://www.woodfortrees.org/plot/rss/from/trend/plot/rss/from/mean:24/plot/uah6/from/mean:24/plot/uah6/from/trend ]
It’s A Match: Satellite and Ground Measurements Agree on Warming
https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/its-a-match-satellite-and-ground-measurements-agree-on-warming/
In the same period, NOAA data shows a trend of 0.10 C per decade!
Climate at a Glance [ https://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/cag/global/time-series/globe/land/all/7/1979-2018?firsttrendyear=1880&lasttrendyear=2018&trend=true&trend_base=10 ]
Even a Koch-brothers funded study which set out to disprove GW, confirmed the temperature data:
https://www.theguardian.com/scie... [ https://www.theguardian.com/science/2012/jul/29/climate-change-sceptics-change-mind ]
https://www.forbes.com/sites/ale... [ https://www.forbes.com/sites/alexknapp/2011/10/24/independent-study-confirms-that-global-warming-exists/#6ebe922662f8 ]
The 5 most known temp data, when compared, fits like hand in glove:
Explainer: how surface and satellite temperature records compare | Carbon Brief [ https://www.carbonbrief.org/explainer-how-surface-and-satellite-temperature-records-compare ]
BONUS. LETS ADD A RANDOM GRAPH FROM SOME METS SOMEWHERE IN THE WORLD…
BONUS :
Japanese data shows same trend :
http://ds.data.jma.go.jp/tcc/tcc... [ http://ds.data.jma.go.jp/tcc/tcc/products/gwp/temp/ann_wld.html ]
Lets go to Russia: According to observations provided by the meteorological network of Roshydromet, the warming in Russia was 1.29°C for the last 100 years (1907–2006). https://www.climatechangepost.co... [ https://www.climatechangepost.com/russia/climate-change/ ]
https://new.meteoinfo.ru/images/... [ https://new.meteoinfo.ru/images/wmc/climate/obzhee_rezume_eng.pdf ]
Ok then, lets do one more random mets from somwhere in the world. Lets go to Denmark.
Here are their observations since 1870:
The ten warmest years are spread from the 30s and up to now. In fact, almost every year since 1988, it has been warmer than usual, where "normally" is defined as the average for the period 1961-90. And the land temperature has shown a sharp rise in recent decades. Since 1870 the temperature in Denmark has increased by about 1.5 ° C.
Temperatur: DMI [ http://www.dmi.dk/klima/klimaet-frem-til-i-dag/danmark/temperatur/ ]
Pick any nation of the world and check to see if their mets have a similar temperature trend to the global GISS temperature trend from NASA!
Roger Fjellstad Olsen's answer to Is there any real proof of global warming? If so, why don’t they release the temperature data so everyone can see it? [ http://qr.ae/TUNnv6 ]
The 10 Hottest Global Years on Record [ http://www.climatecentral.org/gallery/graphics/the-10-hottest-global-years-on-record ]
June 2019:
Study: NASA’s estimate of Earth's long-term temperature rise in recent decades is accurate to within less than a tenth of a degree Fahrenheit, providing confidence that past and future research is correctly capturing rising surface temperatures.
The study [ http://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2018JD029522 ] also confirms what researchers have been saying for some time now: that Earth's global temperature increase since 1880 – about 2 degrees Fahrenheit, or a little more than 1 degree Celsius – cannot be explained by ...